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NFL Week 9 Free Pick/Analysis


No one seems to blow leads this season quite like the Los Angeles Chargers. Their record sits at 2-5 with four improbable loses to the Broncos, Saints, Chiefs, and Buccaneers. Take a look at just how improbable these four loses were.

Last Sunday against the Broncos: 95% chance to win with 2:30 left in the fourth quarter.
Week 5 against the Saints: 78% chance to win with 0:05 left in the fourth quarter
Week 4 against the Buccaneers: 74% chance to win at the end of the third quarter.
Week 2 against the Chiefs: 73% chance to win with 3:17 left in the fourth quarter.

Wow.

You could say they suck because they can’t finish games but we like to think they’ve just been unlucky. This luck (we hope) will even out over the long run. Despite all their misfortune, they've been one of the most profitable teams in 2020 going 5-2 (71.4%) ATS so far. Somehow, they’re still being undervalued as the line for this game opened at Chargers -3.0 and has been bet down to a straight pick’em by the betting public.



Their opponent on Sunday will be The Raiders. Despite their explosive offense, they are simply not a good football team. In their 7 games played, they held their opponent to under 30 points just twice. Keep in mind, they only kept the Browns under 30 points with the help of 40 MPH winds in Cleveland last Sunday.

Their defense ranks 31st in defensive efficiency, 25th in passing yards per game, and 30th in total sacks & points per play. This will be a tough matchup against a Charger’s offense that ranks third in passing yards per game, second in total yards per game, and seventh in total touchdowns.

Las Vegas’s offense might be able to put up some points on Sunday, but their defense is going to get torched all game.

Give us THE CHARGERS -110



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